September 24, 2021
September 2021
Editorial
September 2021 - the pre-eminent global supply chain trend is “shortage”. Limited availability of ocean freight has led to a surge in shipping costs. Limited capacity continues to drive the cost of air cargo higher as shippers seek viable alternatives. Longer shipping times and port delays are causing a shortage in container supply, with many well-known brand names investing in container supply. Much to the dismay of consumers, landed costs of goods are now on the rise. The semiconductor chip shortage continues to shock manufacturing, with no sectors left unscathed. Originally catalysed by an exponential rise in demand for 5G technology, and compounded by geo-politics, companies such as Intel have recently announced significant investment in new chip capacity. Unfortunately, these actions are taking place amidst a global pandemic that continues to rage, despite improvements in vaccination rates being reported in many nations. Chip supply shortages has led to a surge in the cost of chips! It is not clear when the shortage will dissipate, in the meantime suppliers of chips are quoting lead times of 12 to 18 months!
While memories of Brexit debates fade, the fallout continues, the latest being a shortage of trained truck drivers. Well-known brands such as Ikea, Coca-Cola, are reporting raw material delivery shortages. Heightened regulations in a post-Brexit Britain, has created complex bureaucratic barriers that drivers must navigate to legally drive in the UK. Interestingly, Bangladesh too – where China has made significant infrastructure investment through its “Belt and Road Initiative” or “BRI” - is also experiencing a trucker shortage. the IFC – a member of the World Bank Group, with a focus on private companies - has recently invested $2.5 million - in the trucking platform - Truck Lagbe - to maintain critical supply chains during the on-going pandemic.
Lock downs continue to drive growth and interest in E-commerce. Is it possible that start-ups in this area could really threaten the dominance of FedEx and UPS duopoly? GEODIS – ranked 12 in Armstrong & Associates top 50 3PL logistics providers, has announced plans to extend logistic services to the US with a focus direct-to-consumer brand fulfilment. Amazon has announced the launch of its 5th location in India – where appetite for E-commerce solutions continue to rise – This fulfillment center will be in Bengaluru.
September marked the completion of the “merger” between Agility Logistics (28th on the A&A 3PL listing) with DSV Panalpina (5th on the A&A 3PL listing) creating a company with a combined revenue of $22 Billion - 3rd on the A&A list in terms of size, behind DHL and K&N -
While Haiti is back in the news in 2021 for Earthquakes, Tropical storms, Political Turmoil, and International displaced migrants (IDMs) on the US border in Texas, its neighbour the Dominican Republic (DR) continues to improve its WEF GCI (global competitiveness index). As of 2019, the DR’s GCI was 78/141 up four from the previous year. The proximity to the US and government stability continues to drive foreign investment, despite the Pandemic and African Swine Flu outbreak. The president of the Dominican Republic - Luis Abinader has announced that tourists visiting to the country, are entitled to free medical care!
Finally, sustainable manufacturing, automation, micro-mobility devices, building business resiliency, the importance of sales and operations in a post-pandemic era and the implications of just-in-time supply chains in a “pandemic” are topical this month.
Global Freight
- Global air cargo rates up 112% to their pre-Covid costs.
- This can be attributed to global capacity constraints, lockdowns, and closure of cargo handling terminals.
- Prices for Asia to the U.S freight went unchanged this week but are still 5X their level a year ago.
- Expensive and unreliable ocean freight is pushing shippers to switch to air cargo, but this demand is impacting pricing and increasing the overall landed cost of goods.
- The air travel industry will return to 2019 - pre-pandemic - levels of traffic by the end of 2023 and resume normalcy by early 2024.
- The US aircraft maker has increased its forecast of how many new planes the world will want over the next 20 years, with a growing share of these going to the Middle East and Asia.
- Additionally, China seeks to replace the U.S as the biggest aviation market.
- There are concerns for what may lie ahead for the industry as container shipping costs are surging.
Global Fulfilment
- Global leading transport and logistics provider GEODIS is launching an extended logistics service in the U.S. to provide best-in-class e-Commerce fulfillment solutions to emerging direct-to-consumer brands.
- The new service leverages GEODIS' global expertise and utilizes strategically placed U.S. logistics hubs to support new and emerging brands seeking a 3PL provider who can not only fulfill orders, but scale with their business.
- Amazon India announced on Monday the launch of its largest fulfilment center in the country, with a storage capacity of more than 2.4 million cubic feet, in Bengaluru.
- The company now has more than 6.5 million cubic feet of storage space spread across its five fulfilment centers.
- The pandemic e-commerce boom has maxed out delivery capacity, leaving retailers hungry for alternatives.
- Startups are moving in to shake up the 50-year duopoly between UPS and FedEx.
Manufacturing
- SMIC’s planned Shanghai plant will make older-generation chips that are currently in short supply for everything from consumer electronics to self-driver cars.
- TSMC is looking to build an advanced plant in south Taiwan as part of a $100 billion expansion to address the unprecedented global chip shortage.
- Singapore stands ready to partner and support semiconductors companies following the recent multi-billion-dollar wafer fabrication investments by first such as GlobalFoundries and Silitronic.
- Intel is expecting to regain its lead by 2025, over AMD & TSMC while describing five sets of chipmaking technologies it will roll out over the next four years.
- The country has a crucial but under-appreciated role in global supply chains, one that was highlighted when carmakers like Toyota and Ford had to cut production due to pandemic-induced bottlenecks.
- With the surge in infections having peaked, movement restrictions are being eased. But experts caution that problems in other Asian economies, such as Taiwan and Vietnam, will continue to take a toll.
Procurement & Sourcing
- The increase in the demand by the rise of 5G technology, and the decision by the US to prevent the sale of semiconductors and other technology to Huawei led chip makers outside the US to be flooded with orders from the Chinese firm.
- Early signs of fluctuating demand led to stockpiling and advance ordering of chips by some tech firms, left others struggling to acquire the components.
- 2300 staff from Dialog Semiconductor join Renesas Electronics, with change in management in the automotive group.
- The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said the chip crunch remains ‘quite serious’ despite China’s efforts to help buyers get components.
- The ministry blamed the pandemic for creating a supply and demand imbalance, which has taken an especially heavy toll on the automotive industry.
- Prices along the entire chip supply chain have been trending upward, from basic materials to chip packaging, and testing. Analysts predict the strong demand and higher prices will continue into the next year.
- Semiconductor industry seeing robust demand across all major regional markets.
- Chip production and shipments have reached all-time highs in recent months as the industry works to address sustained high demand.
Technology & Automation
- Supply chain winners are customer-centric, demand-driven, and evidence-based.
- Future supply chain will need to tap into ecosystem of cloud providers with different technologies to understand how to leverage skills to supplement core capabilities.
- Operational efficiency has been the primary driver of digital transformation in manufacturing
- Manufacturing saw the biggest shift toward the use of technology for employee engagement during covid-19.
- Respondents say diversity and inclusion, skill-building and climate change are the three biggest places where digital transformation could have a positive societal benefit.
- How does RPA work:
- Low-code capabilities to build automation scripts.
- Integration with enterprise allocations.
- Orchestration and administration including configuration, monitoring and security.
- Ebike/Scooters parking disorderly is a pain, TBIT has released 3 solutions for parking:
- Bluetooth Spike; RFID Spike; AirRFID AI Camera.
- Data is a valuable resource that contributes to all six dimensions of resilience identified by BCG.
- Protect and grow the top line; Accelerate data and digital platforms; Develop agile operations; Enhance cybersecurity; Strengthen financials
Sales & Operations Planning
- Supply chain disruptions have been ever present since the beginning of 2020, with the global COVID-19 pandemic.
- The disruption that follows the initial COVID-19 lockdown have been idiosyncratic impacting different industries at different times for various reasons.
- There is a question, if operations that prioritize efficiency and maintain minimal inventory will endure in the post-pandemic world.
- Question remaining is whether this supply chain disruption will spark a long-term shift.
- Allocate production and diversify risks to not concentrate on one specific area.
Company Focus
- Murata manufacturing and Taiyo Yuden Co have been impacted by surge of COVID-19 infections.
- The former had to shut down while the latter had been forced to operate at 60% capacity.
- The iPhone 13 does not mention supporting low orbit satellite, satellite company - Global Star's - stock falls significantly.
Country Focus
- Britain is currently facing a 100,000 shortage of HGV drivers.
- The demand has driven up wages, with salaries for new drivers in Britain rose by 5.7%.
- Ikea, Coca Cola, McDonalds and Wetherspoons have all been affected by ongoing shortages.
- African Swine Fever (ASF) has now been found in La Altagracia, the easternmost province of the Dominican Republic, as well as in Barahona province in the south.
- In a press release (25/08), the Dominican minister of agriculture - Limber Cruz - said on around 51,000 pigs had been slaughtered and producers were compensated.
- The region has low vaccination rates, leaving it vulnerable to the delta variant.
- With state finances stretched by previous rounds of stimulus, and dwindling monetary policy firepower, lockdowns are becoming less tenable each day.
- The president of the Republic - Luis Abinader - said that the Dominican government would provide tourists who come to the country free medical insurance, as part of the measures to relaunch tourism in the face of the coronavirus pandemic.
- As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, early evidence shows that some - but not all - of Europeans new grocery shopping habits will stick.
- IFC invested $2.5 million into Truck Lagbe - a trucking platform - to maintain critical supply chains, such as food delivery services and essential items during COVID-19.
- Truck Lagbe is used to book short and long-haul freight trips across 64 districts in Bangladesh.
Covid-19
- Covid's delta variant that has hit the country has raised questions about the viability of the Vietnamese supply chain so much so that Apple and Google have delayed their shift to Vietnam.
- Semiconductor shortage has disturbed industries from cars to consumer electronics.
- Low vaccination rates in developing countries will likely lead to shortages of raw materials and other parts due to COVID-related port closures.
- The cluster of infections likely stemmed from a passenger who arrived in Fujian from Singapore on Aug 4 and was released from quarantine on Aug 26. The passenger, as well as his two children, tested positive for the virus on Friday / Sep 10th.
- From Aug 26 to Sept 10, an estimated 30,000 people had left Putian and traveled out of Fujian to other areas of China.
- Shortages of materials are impacting many industries and requiring many companies to redesign how to keep their businesses going.
- Commodity pricing impacted by the pandemic, increased demand, supply chain & manpower constraints.
Miscellaneous
- Choose the right technology for your product life cycle stage.
- Focus development resources on your unique product value.
- Choose the best-fit cellular connectivity for now.
- Don't chase leading technologies.
- Consider a software-first cellular technology stack.
- Everything from food, entertainment, work, and school - have had no choice but to adapt to digitalization. Can the high touch charity sector do the same? Two researchers think so.
- Wiliot’s chip sensor is the first of its kind and can communicate with devices enables by Bluetooth Low Energy.
- Wiliots concept for their Bluetooth chip.
- Company in San Jose is using artificial intelligence to speed up battery development to increase the range of battery-powered electric cars by 50%.
- Battery technology will use Lithium metal as main input
- In 10 years, time, the promise is to use the same technology in aviation.
- Researchers benchmarked entrance airport systems in 25 cities around the globe to find out what goes into making a smooth commute.
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